AlphaGrade Open the live VST card →

VST Vistra Corp.

$142.72-2.69%
Live score · Oct 29, 2026 · 00:53 UTC
Conviction
45 / 100
Cautious
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$167.7714% upside to fair valuemodel estimate
Quality36
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup54
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.3
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Vistra Corp. Cautious, with a conviction of 45/100. Fundamental quality looks weak and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality36
ROIC vs WACC35
Moat Strength41
FCF Yield33
Financial Health53
Debt Health20
Growth & Orders21
Execution & Delivery39
Analyst Price Target100
Setup54
Relative Strength10
Trend Health0
RSI Momentum70
Estimate Revisions15
Post-Earnings Reaction74
Valuation Blend76
Catalyst Proximity100
Insider Activity82
Analyst Sentiment87
Estimate Dispersion Velocity85
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity47
Sector Momentum100
Convex2.3
DCF Upside59
Orders & Demand21
Capacity Constraints30
Catalyst Window84
Short Interest39
Capex Trend Acceleration50
Political Trade Flow85
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

Ask Alpha about VST, see the price-vs-fundamentals charts, and find out how it fits your portfolio.

Open VST in AlphaGrade — free

Every test explained, and the full chart. No account needed.

VST grade — FAQ

Is VST a buy right now?

Vistra Corp. (VST) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 45/100 — Cautious — as of Oct 29, 2026 · 00:53 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Vistra Corp. Cautious, with a conviction of 45/100. Fundamental quality looks weak and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is VST's AlphaGrade?

VST's conviction is 45/100 (Cautious), built from Quality 36/100, Setup 54/100, and Convex 2.3/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the VST grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io