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NVDA NVIDIA Corporation

$218.29-0.03%
Live score · Sep 12, 2026 · 11:58 UTC
Conviction
75 / 100
Favorable
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$229.415% upside to fair valuemodel estimate
Quality94
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup72
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex3.6
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.6
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates NVIDIA Corporation Favorable, with a conviction of 75/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks strong, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality94
ROIC vs WACC100
Moat Strength98
FCF Yield46
Financial Health87
Debt Health99
Growth & Orders92
Execution & Delivery100
Analyst Price Target100
Setup72
Relative Strength56
Trend Health100
RSI Momentum65
Estimate Revisions91
Post-Earnings Reaction85
Valuation Blend94
Catalyst Proximity10
Insider Activity87
Analyst Sentiment91
Estimate Dispersion Velocity49
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity47
Sector Momentum53
Convex3.6
DCF Upside50
Orders & Demand92
Capacity Constraints98
Catalyst Window64
Short Interest44
Capex Trend Acceleration50
Political Trade Flow25
Macro2.6
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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NVDA grade — FAQ

Is NVDA a buy right now?

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 75/100 — Favorable — as of Sep 12, 2026 · 11:58 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates NVIDIA Corporation Favorable, with a conviction of 75/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks strong, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is NVDA's AlphaGrade?

NVDA's conviction is 75/100 (Favorable), built from Quality 94/100, Setup 72/100, and Convex 3.6/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the NVDA grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io