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MSFT Microsoft Corporation

$531.01-0.06%
Live score · Oct 28, 2026 · 22:16 UTC
Conviction
71 / 100
Neutral
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$282.2747% above fair valuemodel estimate
Quality75
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup64
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.7
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Microsoft Corporation Neutral, with a conviction of 71/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality75
ROIC vs WACC100
Moat Strength80
FCF Yield45
Financial Health81
Debt Health97
Growth & Orders62
Execution & Delivery58
Analyst Price Target63
Setup64
Relative Strength25
Trend Health100
RSI Momentum60
Estimate Revisions91
Post-Earnings Reaction100
Valuation Blend80
Catalyst Proximity—
Insider Activity75
Analyst Sentiment60
Estimate Dispersion Velocity35
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity33
Sector Momentum5
Convex2.7
DCF Upside21
Orders & Demand62
Capacity Constraints39
Catalyst Window98
Short Interest32
Capex Trend Acceleration76
Political Trade Flow51
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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MSFT grade — FAQ

Is MSFT a buy right now?

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 71/100 — Neutral — as of Oct 28, 2026 · 22:16 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Microsoft Corporation Neutral, with a conviction of 71/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is MSFT's AlphaGrade?

MSFT's conviction is 71/100 (Neutral), built from Quality 75/100, Setup 64/100, and Convex 2.7/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the MSFT grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io