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TSLA Tesla, Inc.

$404.22-0.80%
Live score · Oct 28, 2026 · 22:14 UTC
Conviction
44 / 100
Cautious
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$17.0696% above fair valuemodel estimate
Quality37
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup45
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.6
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Tesla, Inc. Cautious, with a conviction of 44/100. Fundamental quality looks weak and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality37
ROIC vs WACC0
Moat Strength30
FCF Yield34
Financial Health87
Debt Health99
Growth & Orders26
Execution & Delivery36
Analyst Price Target70
Setup45
Relative Strength10
Trend Health70
RSI Momentum55
Estimate Revisions82
Post-Earnings Reaction91
Valuation Blend5
Catalyst Proximity10
Insider Activity100
Analyst Sentiment60
Estimate Dispersion Velocity20
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity20
Sector Momentum5
Convex2.6
DCF Upside20
Orders & Demand26
Capacity Constraints73
Catalyst Window85
Short Interest37
Capex Trend Acceleration80
Political Trade Flow58
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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TSLA grade — FAQ

Is TSLA a buy right now?

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 44/100 — Cautious — as of Oct 28, 2026 · 22:14 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Tesla, Inc. Cautious, with a conviction of 44/100. Fundamental quality looks weak and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is TSLA's AlphaGrade?

TSLA's conviction is 44/100 (Cautious), built from Quality 37/100, Setup 45/100, and Convex 2.6/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the TSLA grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io