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UPS United Parcel Service, Inc.

$105.62-0.44%
Live score · Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC
Conviction
58 / 100
Neutral
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$154.6946% upside to fair valuemodel estimate
Quality52
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup60
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.9
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates United Parcel Service, Inc. Neutral, with a conviction of 58/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality52
ROIC vs WACC39
Moat Strength35
FCF Yield78
Financial Health67
Debt Health63
Growth & Orders58
Execution & Delivery28
Analyst Price Target70
Setup60
Relative Strength40
Trend Health70
RSI Momentum49
Estimate Revisions76
Valuation Blend64
Catalyst Proximity10
Insider Activity100
Analyst Sentiment60
Estimate Dispersion Velocity82
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity47
Sector Momentum38
Convex2.9
DCF Upside82
Orders & Demand58
Capacity Constraints33
Catalyst Window85
Short Interest45
Capex Trend Acceleration50
Political Trade Flow52
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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UPS grade — FAQ

Is UPS a buy right now?

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 58/100 — Neutral — as of Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates United Parcel Service, Inc. Neutral, with a conviction of 58/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is UPS's AlphaGrade?

UPS's conviction is 58/100 (Neutral), built from Quality 52/100, Setup 60/100, and Convex 2.9/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the UPS grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io