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TGT Target Corporation

$148.96+0.64%
Live score · Oct 29, 2026 · 00:57 UTC
Conviction
61 / 100
Neutral
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$126.2815% above fair valuemodel estimate
Quality58
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup68
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.3
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Target Corporation Neutral, with a conviction of 61/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality58
ROIC vs WACC56
Moat Strength46
FCF Yield64
Financial Health87
Debt Health75
Growth & Orders43
Execution & Delivery55
Analyst Price Target73
Setup68
Relative Strength97
Trend Health60
RSI Momentum74
Estimate Revisions15
Post-Earnings Reaction88
Valuation Blend71
Catalyst Proximity66
Insider Activity63
Analyst Sentiment60
Estimate Dispersion Velocity—
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity48
Sector Momentum100
Convex2.3
DCF Upside35
Orders & Demand43
Capacity Constraints65
Catalyst Window58
Short Interest41
Capex Trend Acceleration28
Political Trade Flow15
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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TGT grade — FAQ

Is TGT a buy right now?

Target Corporation (TGT) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 61/100 — Neutral — as of Oct 29, 2026 · 00:57 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Target Corporation Neutral, with a conviction of 61/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is TGT's AlphaGrade?

TGT's conviction is 61/100 (Neutral), built from Quality 58/100, Setup 68/100, and Convex 2.3/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the TGT grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io