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SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc.

$32.69-0.76%
Live score · Oct 27, 2026 · 11:54 UTC
Conviction
56 / 100
Neutral
Market regime: Neutral
Quality49
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup69
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex3.0
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.3
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Super Micro Computer, Inc. Neutral, with a conviction of 56/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality49
ROIC vs WACC45
Moat Strength35
FCF Yield5
Financial Health68
Debt Health89
Growth & Orders68
Execution & Delivery64
Analyst Price Target96
Setup69
Relative Strength11
Trend Health60
RSI Momentum78
Estimate Revisions95
Post-Earnings Reaction100
Valuation Blend96
Catalyst Proximity100
Insider Activity81
Analyst Sentiment81
Estimate Dispersion Velocity—
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity62
Sector Momentum6
Convex3.0
DCF Upside30
Orders & Demand68
Capacity Constraints48
Catalyst Window87
Short Interest62
Capex Trend Acceleration80
Political Trade Flow50
Macro2.3
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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SMCI grade — FAQ

Is SMCI a buy right now?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 56/100 — Neutral — as of Oct 27, 2026 · 11:54 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Super Micro Computer, Inc. Neutral, with a conviction of 56/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is SMCI's AlphaGrade?

SMCI's conviction is 56/100 (Neutral), built from Quality 49/100, Setup 69/100, and Convex 3.0/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the SMCI grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io