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SHOP Shopify Inc.

$168.22+1.45%
Live score · Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC
Conviction
63 / 100
Neutral
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$19.5488% above fair valuemodel estimate
Quality63
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup63
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.6
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Shopify Inc. Neutral, with a conviction of 63/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality63
ROIC vs WACC58
Moat Strength54
FCF Yield39
Financial Health92
Debt Health100
Growth & Orders72
Execution & Delivery65
Analyst Price Target60
Setup63
Relative Strength10
Trend Health100
RSI Momentum60
Estimate Revisions95
Post-Earnings Reaction100
Valuation Blend37
Catalyst Proximity100
Insider Activity50
Analyst Sentiment55
Estimate Dispersion Velocity85
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity47
Sector Momentum5
Convex2.6
DCF Upside20
Orders & Demand72
Capacity Constraints34
Catalyst Window91
Short Interest34
Capex Trend Acceleration50
Political Trade Flow50
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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SHOP grade — FAQ

Is SHOP a buy right now?

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 63/100 — Neutral — as of Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Shopify Inc. Neutral, with a conviction of 63/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is SHOP's AlphaGrade?

SHOP's conviction is 63/100 (Neutral), built from Quality 63/100, Setup 63/100, and Convex 2.6/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the SHOP grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io