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COST Costco Wholesale Corporation

$997.68-0.74%
Live score · Oct 27, 2026 · 13:44 UTC
Conviction
58 / 100
Neutral
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$278.9372% above fair valuemodel estimate
Quality70
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup53
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.0
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.3
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Costco Wholesale Corporation Neutral, with a conviction of 58/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality70
ROIC vs WACC100
Moat Strength54
FCF Yield48
Financial Health92
Debt Health98
Growth & Orders51
Execution & Delivery51
Analyst Price Target71
Setup53
Relative Strength23
Trend Health70
RSI Momentum50
Estimate Revisions42
Post-Earnings Reaction56
Valuation Blend55
Catalyst Proximity32
Insider Activity47
Analyst Sentiment60
Estimate Dispersion Velocity—
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity36
Sector Momentum100
Convex2.0
DCF Upside20
Orders & Demand51
Capacity Constraints50
Catalyst Window20
Short Interest34
Capex Trend Acceleration50
Political Trade Flow30
Macro2.3
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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COST grade — FAQ

Is COST a buy right now?

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 58/100 — Neutral — as of Oct 27, 2026 · 13:44 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Costco Wholesale Corporation Neutral, with a conviction of 58/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is COST's AlphaGrade?

COST's conviction is 58/100 (Neutral), built from Quality 70/100, Setup 53/100, and Convex 2.0/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the COST grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io