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COP ConocoPhillips

$149.06+0.74%
Live score · Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC
Conviction
68 / 100
Neutral
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$346.02134% upside to fair valuemodel estimate
Quality56
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup77
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex3.5
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates ConocoPhillips Neutral, with a conviction of 68/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks strong, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality56
ROIC vs WACC32
Moat Strength38
FCF Yield63
Financial Health95
Debt Health93
Growth & Orders85
Execution & Delivery49
Analyst Price Target60
Setup77
Relative Strength95
Trend Health100
RSI Momentum51
Estimate Revisions95
Post-Earnings Reaction91
Valuation Blend18
Catalyst Proximity100
Insider Activity100
Analyst Sentiment55
Estimate Dispersion Velocity73
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity52
Sector Momentum100
Convex3.5
DCF Upside98
Orders & Demand85
Capacity Constraints43
Catalyst Window87
Short Interest34
Capex Trend Acceleration62
Political Trade Flow15
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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COP grade — FAQ

Is COP a buy right now?

ConocoPhillips (COP) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 68/100 — Neutral — as of Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates ConocoPhillips Neutral, with a conviction of 68/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks strong, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is COP's AlphaGrade?

COP's conviction is 68/100 (Neutral), built from Quality 56/100, Setup 77/100, and Convex 3.5/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the COP grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io