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CAT Caterpillar Inc.

$713.38+0.01%
Live score · Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC
Conviction
64 / 100
Neutral
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$173.4476% above fair valuemodel estimate
Quality62
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup64
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.8
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Caterpillar Inc. Neutral, with a conviction of 64/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality62
ROIC vs WACC69
Moat Strength50
FCF Yield50
Financial Health93
Debt Health64
Growth & Orders68
Execution & Delivery42
Analyst Price Target100
Setup64
Relative Strength97
Trend Health0
RSI Momentum79
Estimate Revisions30
Post-Earnings Reaction58
Valuation Blend78
Catalyst Proximity—
Insider Activity83
Analyst Sentiment60
Estimate Dispersion Velocity40
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity47
Sector Momentum38
Convex2.8
DCF Upside20
Orders & Demand68
Capacity Constraints45
Catalyst Window98
Short Interest34
Capex Trend Acceleration50
Political Trade Flow85
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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CAT grade — FAQ

Is CAT a buy right now?

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 64/100 — Neutral — as of Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Caterpillar Inc. Neutral, with a conviction of 64/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is CAT's AlphaGrade?

CAT's conviction is 64/100 (Neutral), built from Quality 62/100, Setup 64/100, and Convex 2.8/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the CAT grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io