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BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited

$100.96+0.72%
Live score · Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC
Conviction
38 / 100
Cautious
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$125.7525% upside to fair valuemodel estimate
Quality31
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup41
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.2
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Alibaba Group Holding Limited Cautious, with a conviction of 38/100. Fundamental quality looks weak and the technical setup looks weak, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality31
ROIC vs WACC0
Moat Strength33
FCF Yield5
Financial Health60
Debt Health90
Growth & Orders54
Execution & Delivery0
Analyst Price Target100
Setup41
Relative Strength10
Trend Health0
RSI Momentum81
Estimate Revisions15
Post-Earnings Reaction1
Valuation Blend28
Catalyst Proximity55
Insider Activity82
Analyst Sentiment96
Estimate Dispersion Velocity—
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity65
Sector Momentum99
Convex2.2
DCF Upside70
Orders & Demand54
Capacity Constraints20
Catalyst Window44
Short Interest34
Capex Trend Acceleration45
Political Trade Flow50
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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BABA grade — FAQ

Is BABA a buy right now?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 38/100 — Cautious — as of Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Alibaba Group Holding Limited Cautious, with a conviction of 38/100. Fundamental quality looks weak and the technical setup looks weak, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is BABA's AlphaGrade?

BABA's conviction is 38/100 (Cautious), built from Quality 31/100, Setup 41/100, and Convex 2.2/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the BABA grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io