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AXP American Express Company

$315.05+0.58%
Live score · Oct 27, 2026 · 11:49 UTC
Conviction
67 / 100
Neutral
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$203.3935% above fair valuemodel estimate
Quality84
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup43
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.7
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.3
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates American Express Company Neutral, with a conviction of 67/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks weak, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality84
ROIC vs WACC100
Moat Strength95
FCF Yield88
Financial Health59
Debt Health39
Growth & Orders45
Execution & Delivery100
Analyst Price Target77
Setup43
Relative Strength10
Trend Health0
RSI Momentum65
Estimate Revisions27
Valuation Blend66
Catalyst Proximity10
Insider Activity82
Analyst Sentiment64
Estimate Dispersion Velocity49
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity31
Sector Momentum86
Convex2.7
DCF Upside24
Orders & Demand45
Capacity Constraints72
Catalyst Window85
Short Interest34
Capex Trend Acceleration45
Political Trade Flow85
Macro2.3
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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AXP grade — FAQ

Is AXP a buy right now?

American Express Company (AXP) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 67/100 — Neutral — as of Oct 27, 2026 · 11:49 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates American Express Company Neutral, with a conviction of 67/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks weak, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is AXP's AlphaGrade?

AXP's conviction is 67/100 (Neutral), built from Quality 84/100, Setup 43/100, and Convex 2.7/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the AXP grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io