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ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

$39.45-0.85%
Live score · Oct 27, 2026 · 11:49 UTC
Conviction
44 / 100
Cautious
Market regime: Neutral
Quality36
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup44
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex3.5
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.3
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Cautious, with a conviction of 44/100. Fundamental quality looks weak and the technical setup looks weak, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality36
ROIC vs WACC0
Moat Strength18
FCF Yield5
Financial Health58
Debt Health38
Growth & Orders92
Execution & Delivery100
Analyst Price Target100
Setup44
Relative Strength10
Trend Health0
RSI Momentum84
Estimate Revisions72
Post-Earnings Reaction44
Valuation Blend50
Catalyst Proximity86
Insider Activity80
Analyst Sentiment60
Estimate Dispersion Velocity20
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity46
Sector Momentum0
Convex3.5
DCF Upside30
Orders & Demand92
Capacity Constraints100
Catalyst Window73
Short Interest77
Capex Trend Acceleration20
Political Trade Flow50
Macro2.3
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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ASTS grade — FAQ

Is ASTS a buy right now?

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 44/100 — Cautious — as of Oct 27, 2026 · 11:49 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Cautious, with a conviction of 44/100. Fundamental quality looks weak and the technical setup looks weak, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is ASTS's AlphaGrade?

ASTS's conviction is 44/100 (Cautious), built from Quality 36/100, Setup 44/100, and Convex 3.5/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the ASTS grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io