AlphaGrade Open the live ASML card →

ASML ASML Holding N.V.

$1,662.85+1.67%
Live score · Oct 29, 2026 · 00:52 UTC
Conviction
85 / 100
Favorable
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$317.9381% above fair valuemodel estimate
Quality93
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup70
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex3.1
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates ASML Holding N.V. Favorable, with a conviction of 85/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks strong, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality93
ROIC vs WACC100
Moat Strength94
FCF Yield45
Financial Health100
Debt Health98
Growth & Orders91
Execution & Delivery87
Analyst Price Target100
Setup70
Relative Strength99
Trend Health60
RSI Momentum68
Estimate Revisions95
Post-Earnings Reaction38
Valuation Blend81
Catalyst Proximity10
Insider Activity85
Analyst Sentiment88
Estimate Dispersion Velocity—
Institutional Flow (13F)—
Short-Volume Velocity54
Sector Momentum5
Convex3.1
DCF Upside20
Orders & Demand91
Capacity Constraints66
Catalyst Window68
Short Interest31
Capex Trend Acceleration59
Political Trade Flow85
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

Ask Alpha about ASML, see the price-vs-fundamentals charts, and find out how it fits your portfolio.

Open ASML in AlphaGrade — free

Every test explained, and the full chart. No account needed.

ASML grade — FAQ

Is ASML a buy right now?

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 85/100 — Favorable — as of Oct 29, 2026 · 00:52 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates ASML Holding N.V. Favorable, with a conviction of 85/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks strong, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is ASML's AlphaGrade?

ASML's conviction is 85/100 (Favorable), built from Quality 93/100, Setup 70/100, and Convex 3.1/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the ASML grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io