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ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

$235.90+4.10%
Live score · Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC
Conviction
61 / 100
Neutral
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$7.7597% above fair valuemodel estimate
Quality54
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup67
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.8
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares Neutral, with a conviction of 61/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality54
ROIC vs WACC29
Moat Strength53
FCF Yield34
Financial Health92
Debt Health99
Growth & Orders67
Execution & Delivery40
Analyst Price Target100
Setup67
Relative Strength98
Trend Health60
RSI Momentum71
Estimate Revisions0
Post-Earnings Reaction100
Valuation Blend41
Catalyst Proximity100
Insider Activity100
Analyst Sentiment92
Estimate Dispersion Velocity—
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity47
Sector Momentum5
Convex2.8
DCF Upside20
Orders & Demand67
Capacity Constraints56
Catalyst Window89
Short Interest34
Capex Trend Acceleration60
Political Trade Flow50
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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ARM grade — FAQ

Is ARM a buy right now?

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares (ARM) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 61/100 — Neutral — as of Oct 29, 2026 · 02:09 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares Neutral, with a conviction of 61/100. Fundamental quality looks mixed and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is ARM's AlphaGrade?

ARM's conviction is 61/100 (Neutral), built from Quality 54/100, Setup 67/100, and Convex 2.8/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the ARM grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io