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ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

$261.80-0.71%
Live score · Sep 29, 2026 · 06:33 UTC
Conviction
59 / 100
Neutral
Market regime: Neutral
DCF fair value$289.1510% upside to fair valuemodel estimate
Quality72
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup66
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex2.3
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime3.0
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Automatic Data Processing, Inc. Neutral, with a conviction of 59/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality72
ROIC vs WACC100
Moat Strength76
FCF Yield70
Financial Health53
Debt Health80
Growth & Orders46
Execution & Delivery0
Analyst Price Target59
Setup66
Relative Strength76
Trend Health60
RSI Momentum77
Estimate Revisions95
Post-Earnings Reaction49
Valuation Blend58
Catalyst Proximity51
Insider Activity40
Analyst Sentiment52
Estimate Dispersion Velocity—
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity38
Sector Momentum95
Convex2.3
DCF Upside55
Orders & Demand46
Capacity Constraints27
Catalyst Window38
Short Interest63
Capex Trend Acceleration74
Political Trade Flow15
Macro3.0
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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ADP grade — FAQ

Is ADP a buy right now?

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 59/100 — Neutral — as of Sep 29, 2026 · 06:33 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Automatic Data Processing, Inc. Neutral, with a conviction of 59/100. Fundamental quality looks strong and the technical setup looks mixed, with some asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is ADP's AlphaGrade?

ADP's conviction is 59/100 (Neutral), built from Quality 72/100, Setup 66/100, and Convex 2.3/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the ADP grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io