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AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

$82.22+6.85%
Live score · Oct 29, 2026 · 00:57 UTC
Conviction
47 / 100
Cautious
Market regime: Neutral
Quality35
ROIC vs WACC · FCF yield · margins · moat · balance sheet
Setup47
trend · relative strength · RSI · accumulation · momentum
Convex3.4
demand signals · capacity · catalysts · asymmetric upside
Macro Regime2.5
liquidity · credit · breadth · volatility · sentiment
Price vs. fundamentals · 1Y
Bars = the fundamental (held per quarter); the line is price.

AlphaGrade rates Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Cautious, with a conviction of 47/100. Fundamental quality looks weak and the technical setup looks mixed, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime.

The work behind the score
Quality35
ROIC vs WACC0
Moat Strength26
FCF Yield5
Financial Health70
Debt Health60
Growth & Orders92
Execution & Delivery67
Analyst Price Target100
Setup47
Relative Strength79
Trend Health0
RSI Momentum71
Estimate Revisions2
Post-Earnings Reaction56
Valuation Blend50
Catalyst Proximity100
Insider Activity56
Analyst Sentiment100
Estimate Dispersion Velocity—
Institutional Flow (13F)85
Short-Volume Velocity31
Sector Momentum5
Convex3.4
DCF Upside30
Orders & Demand92
Capacity Constraints50
Catalyst Window87
Short Interest70
Capex Trend Acceleration85
Political Trade Flow50
Macro2.5
LiquidityCreditBreadthVolatilitySentimentLeadership
Recomputed from live fundamentals & price data — AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions with the current market regime. Not a static rating.

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AAOI grade — FAQ

Is AAOI a buy right now?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) has an AlphaGrade conviction of 47/100 — Cautious — as of Oct 29, 2026 · 00:57 UTC, in the current Neutral market regime. AlphaGrade rates Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Cautious, with a conviction of 47/100. Fundamental quality looks weak and the technical setup looks mixed, with notable asymmetric upside — blended with the current market regime. This is a transparent, rules-based research opinion, not financial advice.

What is AAOI's AlphaGrade?

AAOI's conviction is 47/100 (Cautious), built from Quality 35/100, Setup 47/100, and Convex 3.4/5, then adjusted for the market regime.

How is the AAOI grade calculated?

AlphaGrade blends 34 individual tests across four dimensions — Quality (business fundamentals), Setup (technical timing), Convex (asymmetric upside), and the macro regime — recomputed from live data. The same transparent method is applied to every stock and crypto.

AlphaGrade is for research/education, not financial advice. · alphagrade.io